1-12-2024 (MANILA) A deepening rift between two of the Philippines’ most powerful political dynasties has sparked concerns over national stability, as Vice President Sara Duterte’s recent threats against President Ferdinand Marcos Jr mark an alarming escalation in the country’s traditionally tumultuous political landscape.
The controversy reached new heights when Duterte released a provocative video on November 23, suggesting she would orchestrate Marcos’s assassination if similarly targeted. The timing of the release, coinciding with the 15th anniversary of the notorious Ampatuan massacre that claimed 58 lives, including 32 journalists, has drawn pointed criticism from media outlets.
The deteriorating relationship between the Marcos and Duterte camps became evident when Sara Duterte resigned from her Cabinet position in June while retaining her vice presidency. Since then, she has intensified her rhetoric, making increasingly inflammatory statements including threats to exhume the remains of Marcos Sr and allegations regarding the Marcos family’s involvement in historical political assassinations.
President Marcos has responded by enhancing his security detail and treating the threats as potential criminal matters. The National Bureau of Investigation has issued a subpoena to Duterte, while a government panel investigating allegations of her misuse of public funds has postponed its proceedings to accommodate the legal process.
The political turbulence comes at a particularly challenging time for the Philippines, which is navigating increasing tensions with China in the South China Sea. Under Marcos Jr’s leadership, the country has adopted a more assertive stance against Chinese maritime claims, strengthening military ties with the United States and implementing new maritime legislation that has drawn Beijing’s ire.
The situation is further complicated by ongoing investigations into former President Rodrigo Duterte’s controversial drug war, with the International Criminal Court’s probe potentially affecting thousands of cases. Marcos Jr’s administration has indicated potential cooperation with international authorities, adding another layer of tension to the already strained relationship between the families.
Political analysts note that the alliance between the Marcos and Duterte families, forged during the 2022 elections, was always precarious. With the 2025 mid-term elections approaching and both families positioning their members for various offices – including Duterte Sr’s bid for Davao mayor and his sons’ senatorial ambitions – the political landscape appears increasingly volatile.
The drama unfolds as the Philippines faces critical foreign policy challenges, particularly in maintaining its strategic relationships with the United States and regional allies while managing Chinese aggression in disputed waters. The country’s role in maintaining regional stability has become increasingly important, especially with potential changes in US foreign policy leadership.
International observers worry that this internal political strife could undermine the Philippines’ ability to effectively address these external challenges. As one diplomatic source noted, speaking on condition of anonymity, “The Philippines cannot afford to be distracted by domestic political feuds when regional security hangs in the balance.”
