28-7-2023 (PARIS) Sam Rainsy, a prominent opposition figure living in exile in France, has expressed skepticism about any positive transformations in Cambodia’s democratic landscape or relations with the West following Prime Minister Hun Sen’s announced resignation. After nearly four decades of uncompromising rule, Hun Sen disclosed his decision to step down and hand power to his eldest son, Hun Manet, who holds the rank of a four-star general.
However, Rainsy, the leader of the Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP), believes that such a leadership transition will maintain the existing system rather than ushering in meaningful change. He dismisses the notion that Hun Manet’s ascendancy would result in greater freedoms, friendlier ties with the West, or distancing from China. Rainsy regards such expectations as mere illusions, asserting that the core structure of governance will remain unchanged, regardless of the leader.
In a recent election, the Cambodian People’s Party (CPP), led by Hun Sen, secured a resounding victory, with no significant opposition to challenge their rule. This landslide win has paved the way for a dynastic succession, which critics liken to North Korea’s political landscape. Western nations, including the United States and the European Union, have condemned the election as lacking in free and fair conditions.
Despite the dominance of the CPP and Hun Sen’s iron-fist rule, Rainsy affirms that the Cambodian people’s yearning for more democratic freedoms has not wavered. He believes that the desire for a fairer and more just system, one embracing democracy, remains resilient among the population. Rainsy perceives Hun Sen’s plan to establish a political dynasty through family succession as the primary obstacle to genuine democracy in Cambodia.
However, the opposition figure’s aspirations to return to Cambodia have been hindered by the government, signaling Hun Sen’s apprehension about Rainsy’s potential influence. Nevertheless, Rainsy sees himself as a symbol of resistance, representing the hope for a transformative movement within the nation. He envisions a peaceful revolution, supported by the Cambodian army and the people, leading to a democratic shift in the country.
Transparency International’s corruption perception index ranks Cambodia 150th out of 180 countries, with only Myanmar and North Korea receiving lower scores in Asia. Despite Hun Sen stepping down as prime minister, he intends to assume the role of president of the senate and act as head of state during the king’s overseas absences. Rainsy maintains that, even with this transition, Hun Sen will continue to wield influence behind the scenes. He also expresses doubts about Hun Manet’s ability to match his father’s authority and charisma.
