16-1-2024 (IOWA) Donald Trump has emerged victorious in the first 2024 Republican presidential contest in Iowa, as per projections by Edison Research on Monday. The triumph reaffirms Trump’s dominance within the party as he pursues a third consecutive nomination.
With Trump holding a substantial lead in opinion polls, the focal point of interest shifted to the battle for second place between Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley. The two contenders engaged in a increasingly acrimonious struggle to establish themselves as the primary alternative to Trump.
Despite life-threatening temperatures, Iowans turned out at over 1,600 locations, including schools and community centers, marking the official commencement of the 2024 presidential campaign after months of debates, rallies, and advertisements.
A resounding victory for Trump in Iowa would strengthen his argument that he is the sole Republican candidate capable of challenging Democratic President Joe Biden, despite facing four criminal cases that could potentially result in his conviction before the Nov. 5 general election.
“I’m hoping that it’s a landslide, and I wouldn’t be surprised,” remarked Kim Pitts, 65, a retired Christian bookstore owner and Trump supporter.
Both DeSantis and Haley aimed for a robust second-place finish to demonstrate their capacity to impede Trump’s seemingly inevitable path to the nomination. DeSantis, in particular, staked much on Iowa, extensively touring all 99 counties, and a third-place finish might intensify pressure on him to end his campaign, especially considering polls indicating his lag behind Trump and Haley in the more moderate state of New Hampshire.
In contrast to a standard election, Iowa’s caucus demands voters gather in person, forming small groups to cast secret ballots following speeches from campaign representatives. The challenging weather conditions, with a forecasted wind chill of minus 45 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 43 degrees Celsius), had the potential to suppress turnout. However, Trump’s unwavering support base might mitigate this effect.
DeSantis and Haley expressed confidence in exceeding expectations in Iowa, although neither predicted outright victory. Trump, unlike his competitors, limited his attendance at campaign events, relying on others to rally his supporters.
A potential wildcard was the unknown number of Democratic voters in the state who registered as Republicans to influence caucus results. Toni Van Voorhis, 65, a crossover voter backing Haley, stated, “I just want to be able to look back and say I did what I could to keep Donald Trump from getting elected.”
Iowa Democrats did not participate in selecting their presidential nominees on Monday, as the party has adjusted its nominating calendar. They will vote by mail, with results expected in March.
Despite Iowa’s historical significance in presidential campaigns, the winner of its Republican caucuses did not secure the nomination in the last three competitive contests. Previously a political battleground, Iowa now leans reliably Republican in presidential elections, with registered Republicans outnumbering Democrats.