8-1-2024 (BANGKOK) A recent survey conducted by the National Institute of Development Administration (Nida) sheds light on the prevailing pessimism among most Thais regarding political stability in 2024. Approximately 45.7% of the surveyed participants anticipate the political discord to persist at current levels, while 28.4% foresee heightened turbulence. The survey, conducted via telephone between Dec 12 and Dec 20 among 1,310 Thai nationals aged 18 and above, also revealed that 14.3% expect the situation to ease, and 7% believe there will be no political disarray in the coming year.
The political landscape in Thailand witnessed significant shifts in 2023, with the May general election ending a decade of military-backed rule and the return of former premier Thaksin Shinawatra from exile. Despite the uncertainty, approximately 39.2% of respondents in the Nida poll anticipate Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin to remain in office in 2024, with 20.5% predicting a Cabinet reshuffle.
The Constitutional Court is set to deliver two crucial verdicts in January, addressing issues related to Move Forward Party leader Pita Limjaroenrat and potential violations of the country’s lese majeste law. The Senate will also undergo changes in May, marking a pivotal moment in Thai politics as senators lose the power to elect a prime ministerial candidate. New senators will be chosen in 2024, contributing to the evolving political landscape in the country.